2022 Busts

Breece Hall, RB

Look, I would have had more faith about a week ago. But Mekhi Becton looks to be done for the season with his recent knee injury. Breece is not a bad running back, and that’s not my point whatsoever. My argument is simply that where I’m seeing him being drafted is completely insane. A friend of mine told me he did a dynasty startup and Breece went 1.01!!! That’s just silly. Have these guys not heard of Jonathan Taylor, Justin Jefferson, etc.? Hall, in a best case scenario, is in a two RB committee with Michael Carter, who played really well in 2021. So well that a lot of people were shocked the Jets would even take a RB in the first place. If your expectation out of Hall is RB1 numbers, I think you’re mistaken. If your expectation is RB2 numbers, I think you’re mistaken. I think Hall and Carter both massively cap the other’s upside, and it’s problematic for each young back. You should not be buying into the Jets backfield this year, and again, with the Becton injury, you should be even less interested than you may have been just one week ago. (Cory Dows)

Antonio Gibson, RB

I was not big on Antonio Gibson coming out of college, but he proved me wrong and has finished as the RB12 in fantasy football each season since coming into the league in 2020. Every season he has seen his carries, targets, and total yards go up, so you would think he can continue to build off of that this season, but I do not see that happening at all. Carson Wentz is now the QB in Washington and we know that Wentz does not throw much to the RBs, so the 52 targets last season will be hard to replicate. Let us not forget that they brought back JD McKissic, who should be the passing/third-down RB on the team, so the little passing work from Wentz to the RBs should go to McKissic and not Gibson. They also drafted Brian Robinson this season who should be able to cut into Gibson’s workload even more in 2022. Gibson has struggled since coming into the league with fumbles (6 total) and in his first preseason game this year, he coughed up yet another ball before getting replaced by the rookie Robinson. Gibson has been working a lot with the second team as well this offseason, so it is not looking up for this guy who has been a back-end RB1 his first two years. Avoid Gibson at all costs. (Scott Miln)

Miles Sanders, RB

Miles Sanders is currently being drafted as the RB26 in nationwide ADP, and my personal rank for him is RB36 and falling. We all had high hopes for Sanders when he entered the league and was drafted to a run first team like Philadelphia, however our excitement has run out. This is going to be harsh, but he had the starting job behind the best offensive line in football (by multiple respected analysts) and finished RB41 in fantasy points per game. I used points per game because he did miss 6 games and thought his PPG finish wouldn’t be so harsh, but boy is that bad when you have every tool available to be successful. Unfortunately Sanders’ time in Philly is running out, as even Jordan Howard who contributes to one of TSF’s favorite jokes, finished 1 spot ahead of Sanders in PPG. We’ve seen his attempts go down each year, his targets go down each year, and his TDs drop each year… all the way to a whopping 0 last season which brings me to another point. Jalen Hurts is vulturing TDs from these RBs like it’s the only way he can keep his starting job… which honestly might be true, leaving Sanders handicapped even if he manages not to lose his job. Then, in comes Kenneth Gainwell who Scott has as a sleeper this year, and he fits much closer with how this offense wants to operate and is soon to be the starter if not by day 1. Like I said, I have Sanders at RB36 in my rankings, but if he finishes somewhere around 56 I won’t be shocked. (Craig Penney)